Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 175.328629 201.886818 231.902957 268.496724 312.115071 362.700230 426.180456
2025-10-05 145.446787 181.174432 225.532859 285.302592 364.724305 468.045934 614.973323
2025-10-12 127.799833 168.091326 221.523503 298.899002 410.328893 568.566466 816.929862
2025-10-19 111.052665 152.186024 209.544770 297.393256 432.250338 637.888260 988.389957
2025-10-26 101.244830 143.834620 205.923053 305.929365 468.692477 733.941915 1223.160140
2025-11-02 92.439494 135.433827 200.558041 310.176564 498.089442 823.297033 1468.519416
2025-11-09 85.426869 128.671668 196.482533 315.321242 529.106420 920.711657 1754.399783
2025-11-16 78.456861 121.045113 189.874932 314.872378 549.650586 1002.483363 2031.611518
2025-11-23 72.395575 114.149588 183.513638 313.677367 568.180759 1083.576743 2330.945001
2025-11-30 67.874220 109.287241 179.942752 316.847922 595.384437 1187.711943 2716.492670
2025-12-07 61.610491 100.812293 169.085047 304.715249 589.417359 1218.890470 2930.433852
2025-12-14 57.326712 95.382914 163.095406 301.181070 600.791230 1291.436008 3278.900589
2025-12-21 53.600139 90.991617 159.264756 303.006325 627.858506 1416.682022 3856.447279
2025-12-28 52.258929 90.857907 163.548613 322.601951 700.430812 1679.231960 4997.999076
2026-01-04 50.543152 89.805055 165.866731 338.338730 767.665833 1950.819334 6341.122862
2026-01-11 47.236098 85.334289 160.763281 336.595685 790.649403 2105.147039 7355.498575
2026-01-18 45.343096 83.434915 160.697375 346.480973 846.636774 2379.178572 9055.750715
2026-01-25 43.185726 80.779361 158.701602 351.402257 890.314009 2630.972369 10867.482660
2026-02-01 41.300324 78.491444 157.223607 357.365911 938.650939 2918.575240 13121.749927
2026-02-08 39.095822 75.327645 153.442825 356.845486 967.600976 3148.992044 15303.136679
2026-02-15 37.025617 72.263774 149.556215 355.460059 993.768596 3381.048295 17754.479223
2026-02-22 35.460743 70.153002 147.642989 359.136131 1037.587873 3705.282193 21214.192217
2026-03-01 32.921671 65.695488 139.757204 345.074500 1018.513264 3755.074886 22786.296747